etymology - Where does the term "on the nose" come from?


Where does the term, "on the nose" (to mean accuracy) come from?


Dictionaries such as Oxford Dictionaries list the expression both under "nose" and on its own page, but the only etymology they list is of "nose":



Old English nosu, of West Germanic origin; related to Dutch neus, and more remotely to German Nase, Latin nasus, and Sanskrit nāsā; also to ness.





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